In an article titled Can Anti-Natalists Oppose Human Extinction? author Phil Torres, challenges the linkage between antinatalism and human extinction.
He argues that antinatalists can hold the following three propositions without contradiction:
(i) it would be better if no people had ever existed
(ii) it would be better if there are no more people
(iii) human extinction would constitute a terrible tragedy that we should strive hard to avoid
And that is possible because life-extension technologies could enable members of a “final” human generation to live indefinitely long lives by attaining what he calls “functional immortality” – whereby one lives until s/he either succumbs to injury, commits suicide, or perishes due to the heat death of the universe – and, therefore, humanity can avoid biological extinction. He calls this position ‘no-extinction anti-natalism’, and it has dual guidelines: stop procreating entirely (anti-natalism), and develop safe and effective life-extension technologies (pro-immortalism).
Torres suggests ‘no-extinction anti-natalism’ for people like him, who are, as he defines himself, “sympathetic with the moral prescription not to procreate but are also inclined to think that human extinction would constitute an immense tragedy”.
In this text and the next one I will try to challenge his third proposition. In this one I’ll focus on arguments against human extinction that he finds convincing, and in the second part I’ll focus on his attempt to avoid an internal contradiction in his ‘no-extinction anti-natalism’ position, as well as on the life-extension technologies he details and the various harmful possibilities involved in them.
Since basically, the first part is merely arguments against human extinction that Torres finds convincing but were made by others, it can also be viewed and read independently of his article, or of the second part, and in a way, even as an independent counter article for some arguments against human extinction.
Anti-Extinction Arguments
Torres argues that there are multiple lines of argumentation that (a) are compatible with Benatarian anti-natalism, and (b) independently converge on the conclusion that human extinction, if it were to occur, would constitute an immense tragedy. He mentions six of them which he finds convincing so I’ll address each of them.
(i) The Argument from Unfinished Business
“This states that, to quote Edmund Burke (1790), civilization is “a partnership not only between those who are living, but between those who are living, those who are dead, and those who are to be born.” That is to say, humanity is “building something” over time—a morally better society, a complete scientific picture of the universe, a world with no more scarcity, and so on—such that it behooves us not to end up being the failing link in the chain of generations.” (p.12)
Humanity doesn’t have any unfinished business to complete as it never had any business whatsoever to begin with. Like any other thing in the universe it just exists. It has no reason, meaning, or purpose and therefore no business, let alone an unfinished one. To think otherwise is to think in essentialist terms, if not godlike ones.
More than any other argument on this list, I find this one to be the most religious. Obviously it doesn’t explicitly state that the human race has some kind of special role in the universe in the name of divinity, but since there is not any cosmological reason for the human race to exist, and no reason for it to evolve in the first place, but like anything else in existence it just happened to happen, to yet insist upon humanity having a purpose is to insist that it has some kind of cosmological reason. What other sense could claiming that it is “building something” have in a deeper and meaningful level?
Humans were occupied with all kinds of “building something” missions all along history, but the connection between the somethings that they have been building back then and what was built by others afterwards is in our mind now, it wasn’t in their mind then, and it definitely wasn’t for the sake of finishing some business at some point in the future, but rather because they had an immediate interest, an instrumental interest in building that something. Humanity as a whole never had, and still doesn’t have a super goal, a final project of any kind.
But even if, for the sake of the argument, I’ll accept that humanity can have an unfinished business without drifting into essentialism or cosmological purposes, the examples given which are building a morally better society, a complete scientific picture of the universe, a world with no more scarcity, are in their essence gradual processes that can never be finished. At least theoretically, society can always become morally better, a scientific picture of the universe can always become completer, and since scarcity is relative it can never be the case that no one would have any shortage, so these are all intrinsically unfinished business. And it is not surprising that all the examples are of such nature as humanity doesn’t have any final, definitive goal. It has no business to finish.
But much more important than these rather metaphysical problems with this argument, are the ethical problems involved in it.
So far, scientific advancements had horrible prices attached to them in terms of suffering, and it wasn’t balanced somehow with reducing suffering in other areas. A completer scientific picture of the universe is better than a non-factual picture but so far it is far from achieving the desirable results, certainly in a moral sense. The scientific revolution may amaze some people in terms of the intellectual achievement but it is by all means not an ethical achievement. The lives of most people have not been significantly improved by it. Billions of people are suffering from hunger and malnutrition, even more people are suffering from a lack of access to clean water for drinking and cleaning, billions of people are suffering from various curable diseases, billions of people are suffering from pollution and filth. Despite the scientific revolution, this is the reality of the majority of the human race. Not to mention that due to the scientific revolution, the reality of most of the members of all the other species is even worse.
I am not an anti-scientific person in the philosophical term, meaning scientifically skeptical, but I am very skeptic regarding the ethical consequences of science, and I have most of the human history to back my skepticism. Except for very rare exceptions, each and every scientific “advancement” caused or was bound with a lot of misery. And his argument doesn’t even pretend to compare the harms and benefits of scientific “advancement”, but suggests that a complete scientific picture of the universe is worth all the suffering caused by the human race. To argue that for humans to have a complete scientific picture of the universe sometime in the future is worth all the suffering that would be caused to trillions of sentient creatures until that point (if it ever comes) is simply a cruel argument.
Regarding a world with no more scarcity, what better way is there to achieve a world with no more scarcity, than a world with no more needy creatures?
Even if, as opposed to the current state of affairs, humanity took seriously all of peoples’ needs, what is the point of the efforts to fulfill needs that anyway can never be fully satisfied and that exist only because there are needy creatures who would have needed nothing had they never been created?
What is the point of keep chasing problems instead of preventing them for good?
How many more people would have to suffer, from hunger for example, until humanity would succeed in building a world with no more scarcity? Given that already humanity produces much more food than needed for every person on earth to feed itself, how many excess calories does humanity need to produce every day so that no person would go to bed hungry? Or are we supposed to wait for the entire economic system to change as well?
And regarding building a better society, isn’t it a romantic and dazzling way to tell a much more prosaic and banal story about members of a species who were forced to be part of a violent and exploitative species, in a purposeless and meaningless existence, who simply tried to survive (mainly because they are built this way), and that as a consequence of some social, geographical and economic processes have only just recently gained just enough power to start claiming what was never right to take away from them?
The human race doesn’t act in a specific direction. The human race acts under pressures of all kinds, and as a consequence of its struggling with these pressures, it is being directed at all kinds of places. Most are terrible. Very few are good, and even they are reparations of bad things that should have never happened in the first place. One of the strongest examples for that is that more and more traditionally oppressed layers of society are gaining more political power and social acceptance. But that is good only because of how bad it was that they were systematically discriminated against for the entire history of the human race in the first place. It is not good in itself, in fact it is not good at all, it is how things were supposed to be all along.
The history of the human race is anything but equalitarian, and it is highly doubtful if it could ever become one. In the past, life was good for less than one percent of people, only for the ones living at the top. Gradually this top expanded so that more people lived a relatively good life. However, at the same time, the number of people suffering at the bottom has expanded as well. Even if we’ll accept that percentage wise there was an improvement, in absolute numbers there wasn’t. And it is absolute numbers that count morally. Percentages don’t suffer, sentient beings do, and since more sentient beings suffer it is not an improvement but deterioration. And if we consider all the sentient creatures (as we must) and not just humans, then even percentage wise there is no improvement but deterioration.
Things like a morally better society, a complete scientific picture of the universe, a world with no more scarcity are not intrinsically important but only instrumentally. It is not important that they exist and therefore it is not important that humans would keep existing. They are important only as long as humans exist, once humans are gone they would become absolutely meaningless.
Therefore, sacrificing so many, so that maybe one day (but probably never), some businesses with an instrumental meaning only, would be supposedly finished, is senseless.
And so far it doesn’t even seem like humanity is even trying to get there. Where is the evidence for humanity trying to build a morally better society and a world with no more scarcity?
If humanity is “building something” it is definitely not a morally better society and a world with no more scarcity. In many aspects it seems like it’s doing exactly the opposite.
Our world is so horrible, in every aspect possible, that suggesting to wait for it be improved, not to mention while risking that it would become even worse, is more than unethical, it is cruel.
Given that almost the entire history of humanity is the failing link in the chain of generations, it behooves us not to end up being the failing link in the last chance of ending the chain of generations.
(ii) The argument from Cosmic Uniqueness
“According to a recent study that replaces the variables in the Drake equation with probability distributions, there is a very high probability that we are the only intelligent lifeforms in the Milky Way galaxy, if not the visible universe (Sandberg et al. 2018). To quote Parfit (2011) once more:
if we are the only rational beings in the Universe … it matters even more whether we shall have descendants or successors during the billions of years in which that would be possible. Some of our successors might live lives and create worlds that … would give us all … reasons to be glad that the Universe exists.” (p.13)
Uniqueness, even if on a cosmic level, is neither a criterion for nor an indication of significance, importance or value.
Let’s say that there is only one device in the entire universe that can calculate the number of grains of sand on earth and that this device is composed of a material that no longer exists anywhere in the universe so it can never be replaced. Must we do everything we can to protect this device because of its rarity despite that we have no need to know the number of grains of sand on earth? Of course not and that’s because rareness doesn’t imply importance.
We are not morally ought to preserve something merely because it is rare, and in the case of the human rationality we morally ought not to preserve it because of all the harms it causes, and no matter how rare it is.
We need to be explained why rationality is so important before it can serve as a reason against human extinction. Rationality and intelligence, are both tools for problem solving, which have no significance of their own. It is not important that there would be rationality and intelligence if there are no problems to solve, or people to use it, so ironically it is not rational to claim against human extinction because they are supposedly the only rational beings in the universe, when once they are gone their problems are gone with them. Once there is no one to use a tool, no matter how important that tool was when there were whom who were using it, it becomes absolutely useless and meaningless.
I fail to understand why it matters even more that we shall have descendants if we are the only rational beings in the Universe. What is it about rationality that makes the continuance of the human race matter so much? And why would that we are supposedly the only rational beings in the Universe cause some of our successors to live lives and create worlds that would give us all reasons to be glad that the Universe exists? What does rationality, all the more so its rarity, got to do with our successors living lives and creating worlds that would give us all reasons to be glad that the Universe exists?
Anyway, I really hope that indeed there are no other intelligent lifeforms on other planets. But unfortunately we are not the only intelligent lifeforms on this one. It seems that many are not only in denial of the fact that there are many other intelligent lifeforms on earth, but in denial that there are other lifeforms on earth at all. And that is very relevant in relation to the argument from cosmic uniqueness, because suggesting that the mass exploitation, captivation, execution and pollution of trillions of other lifeforms is justified because of the supposed cosmic uniqueness of rationality is to prioritize an abstract insentient tool over trillions upon trillions of sentient beings. And like the former argument, that is also a very cruel claim.
Rationality is a positive tool only if you are the one in power. For all the others – and these are absolutely the vast majority of lifeforms on earth and probably the whole universe – it is a torture tool.
So, regardless of its rarity, human rationality doesn’t provide a reason to be against human extinction, but in fact a reason to be in favor of it.
(iii) The argument from Normative Uncertainty
“There could be reasons, whether distinctly moral or not, for maintaining that human extinction would be extremely undesirable, but that the philosophical enterprise from the pre-Socratics to the present has not yet discovered. This gives us reason to hope that humanity does not go extinct, even if we believe that it should or that extinction would not ultimately be that bad. Tomorrow, a young genius could flip over a stone to find a novel insight that “radically changes the expected value of pursuing some high-level subgoal” (Bostrom 2014).” (p.13)
What hasn’t happened along at least a hundred thousand years of human society, and along thousands of years of a developed human civilization, is not expected to somehow pop up in the future.
The sacrifice element mentioned in the former arguments plays a role in this one as well, but here it is particularly appalling. That is because although the reasons specified in the former arguments are flawed, at least some kind of a rationale was suggested, while this argument doesn’t even bother. The human chauvinism, speciesism, and indifference to the suffering of others is so deep, that according to this argument, it is ethically justified to sacrifice trillions of sentient creatures, not even for any particular reason but so that one day maybe one would be found.
As far as this argument goes, the reason for all the suffering that would be caused by humanity, including to its own members, is the hypothetical option of someday finding one.
To me this argument is record-breaking in disregarding the misery of others.
(iv) The argument from Value-Ladenness
“Samuel Scheffler (2016, 2018) argues that most of us care about the continuation of our evolutionary lineage far more than we realize— that we have a “love for humanity.” This is supposedly revealed by the putative fact that most of us would become despondent if told, with certitude, that humanity would go extinct several decades after our deaths. As Scheffler writes, referring to future generations, “we have an interest in their survival in part because they matter to us; they do not matter to us solely because we have an interest in their survival” (Scheffler 2018).” (p.13)
Of course people care about the continuation of their evolutionary lineage, that is structured in evolutionary lineage. They are biologically built, and are socially indoctrinated to care about their own groups. It is in their genes and in their societies (which in many ways are based on their genes). That is the case not only regarding their own species, but also their own ethnicity, nation, tribe, religion, family and etc. White supremacy, male chauvinism, nationalism and religious fanaticism also express care about people’s own group, but they are not favorably viewed merely because of that sentiment. The fact that we are structured in a particular way doesn’t make this structure good. People had an interest in maintaining their kingdom, their empire, their tribe, no matter how violent and harmful they may be. Humans are very tribal. In many senses it is Us and Them. So if anything, the question for that matter shouldn’t be do humans care about the survival of their own species but why do humans care about the survival of their own species, and I think they wouldn’t have satisfying answers to this question. And that they “would become despondent if told, with certitude, that humanity would go extinct several decades after our deaths” is certainly an unsatisfying answer, as it is just a better wording of ‘because I don’t want to’.
Anyway, the question ‘why do humans care about the survival of their own species’ is not the most important and relevant question, but how anyone who would be affected by human extinction feels about it. The human race is by far and by no doubt the species with the most significant impact on others so ‘others’ should have a say regarding human extinction just as much. It is extremely unlikely that in the hypothetical case of a global convention regarding human extinction, that includes representatives from each and every species on earth, there would be even one nonhuman representative who would vote against human extinction.
v) The argument from Final Value
“As Johann Frick (2017) observes, people commonly attribute “final value” (when something is valuable for its own sake) to a range of phenomena like languages, species, and cultures. This suggests, he argues, that humanity, “with its unique capacities for complex language use and rational thought, its sensitivity to moral reasons, its ability to produce and appreciate art, music, and scientific knowledge, its sense of history, and so on, should be deemed to possess final value” (Frick 2017, 359). Since it would be nonsensical to value things but “see no reason of any kind to sustain them or retain them or preserve them or extend them into the future” (Scheffler 2007, 106), we should conclude that “it would be very bad, indeed one of the worst things that could possibly happen, if, for preventable reasons, the end came much sooner rather than later” (Frick 2017, 344).” (p. 14)
I don’t accept the notion of final value. And even if I did, I don’t understand why a species has final value. And even if I did, I don’t understand why the human species has a final value but not the northern white rhinoceros species for example? Isn’t the fact that it is members of a particular species who are determining that their own species has final value at least a little bit suspicious? There were some conservation activities to protect the northern white rhinoceros species from extinction but obviously without any proportion even to the philosophical discussions about human extinction. Except the fact that the human race is consisted of the most powerful and dominating animal on the planet, is there any rational reason why northern white rhinoceros don’t have a final value but humans do?
Johann Frick whom Torres quotes, suggests that the human race possess final value because of its unique capacity for complex language use, rational thought, sensitivity to moral reasons, the ability to produce and appreciate art, music, and scientific knowledge, and its sense of history, but I fail to see how a list of utterly instrumental capacities, somehow produces a final value despite that none of them has an intrinsic value of its own.
I have already referred to some of these features earlier in this text, and the others are no different. Language, cultures, art, music, and a sense of history are also notions, abstracts, insentient entities that merely have an instrumental value and not an intrinsic one. Without anyone using language, reflecting on history, viewing an artifact, or listening to music, these are absolutely valueless. Their value depends on the existence of whom who value them, so they can’t be the reason why whom who values them have a final value. This interdependency creates a sort of a circular argument. Humans have final value because of things that have value only and if humans use them. This circular logic has no external validation.
Stepping outside of humanity and it would matter to no one that things that only humans value would lose value once humans are gone. There is nothing wrong in a world in which there would no longer be languages, cultures, art, music, and etc., but also no one to be deprived of their absence. The universe doesn’t need a sense of history, art, music and languages. The universe doesn’t need anything. It is humans who need and value all of that, and once humans are gone, there is no waste or anything bad with all that being gone too.
No one would be deprived of the absence of the very short list of humanity’s positive achievements if it goes extinct, and trillions would benefit from the absence of its endless list of negative achievements.
And just a quick comment regarding Scheffler’s claim that it would be nonsensical to value things but “see no reason of any kind to sustain them or retain them or preserve them or extend them into the future”. I think we can most certainly value things and have a very strong reason not to sustain them or retain them or preserve them or extend them into the future, and in fact this is exactly the view of many antinatalists. Many of us, myself included, value ethics, compassion and caring, but that doesn’t necessarily imply that we have a reason of any kind to sustain them or retain them or preserve them or extend them into the future, actually we have strong reasons for the contrary. We don’t want to sustain, retain, preserve or extend ethics, compassion and caring because that would indicate they are needed, that there are ethical problems, that there are harms and vulnerabilities as otherwise why would there be a need for compassion and caring, and we don’t want what creates the need to any of that. So it wouldn’t necessarily be nonsensical to value things but see no reason of any kind to sustain them or retain them or preserve them or extend them into the future.
As long as sentient beings exist I value their experiences, notwithstanding I don’t value the very existence of sentient beings. In fact, more than anything else in this world, I have a very strong reason not to sustain them or retain them or preserve them or extend them into the future.
(vi) The argument from harm Reduction in the Wild
“Some argue that there exists far more pain than pleasure in the natural world, in part because of r-selected species that give birth to tens or hundreds of offspring each reproductive cycle, only a relative few of which survive. If humanity exists long enough into the future, it could potentially develop ways to intervene in the ecosystem hierarchy to reduce the magnitude of harm in the biosphere.” (p.14)
Given that suffering in nature is without a doubt one of the most important and compelling issues, in itself and in relation to human extinction, this argument is, noticeably and disproportionally to any of the former arguments, worthy of a very serious consideration.
Accordingly, and since regardless of this text I wrote an article that specifically addresses this argument, I think it would do more justice to such an important issue not to summarize it here, but to suggest to anyone who is interested in it or who finds this argument against human extinction convincing, to read the full article.
References
Torres, Phil. (2020): Can anti-natalists oppose human extinction? The harm-benefit asymmetry, person-uploading, and human enhancement. South African Journal of Philosophy 39 (3):229-245 (2020)
Torres, P., Futures (2017): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2017.10.004
Torres, Phil. (2017): Space Colonization and Existential Risks: On Why Following the Maxipok Rule Could have Catastrophic Consequences. Working draft: https://goo.gl/rvDdLj.
Torres, Phil. (2017): Facing Disaster: The Great Challenges Framework. Forthcoming in Foresight.
Torres, Phil. (2019): The possibility and risks of artificial general intelligence,
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, https://doi.org/10.1080/00963402.2019.1604873
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